Costa Rica & US Tariffs: Risk or Opportunity? A Counterpoint

Recent global economic shifts and policy changes in the United States are prompting many U.S. investors to reassess their strategies, and while Costa Rica might seem like an attractive nearshore destination, certain challenges temper its appeal for widespread investment.

Weighing the Factors: U.S. Policies and Investment Decisions

Changes in U.S. policies, such as those affecting H1B visas, are undoubtedly influencing where companies choose to invest. With restrictions on skilled labor immigration, businesses are more likely to move operations to countries where they can readily access the talent they need. Furthermore, shifts in U.S. energy policy, particularly concerning green energy incentives, have led to project cancellations and potential relocation of investments outside of the U.S.

Costa Rica’s Challenges for U.S. Investors

Despite Costa Rica’s stability and natural beauty, several factors make it a less compelling option for some American investors when compared to other locations. These factors can significantly impact the bottom line and operational efficiency, especially for larger scale projects.

High Energy Costs

One of the biggest hurdles for businesses in Costa Rica is the cost of electricity. Costa Rica boasts a predominantly renewable energy grid, but the prices remain some of the highest in the region. This can be a significant disadvantage for energy-intensive industries.

Infrastructure Deficiencies

Years of underinvestment in infrastructure have taken a toll. While Costa Rica is actively working to improve its roads and ports, frequent flooding, landslides, and traffic congestion remain significant challenges, impacting logistics and travel times.

Labor Costs and Social Security (Caja)

The costs associated with employing local workers can also be a deterrent. Costa Rica’s social security system, known as the Caja Costarricense de Seguro Social (CCSS), requires employers to contribute a significant percentage of employees’ salaries, adding to the overall cost of labor.

Security Concerns

Increasingly, security risks are also a factor. The rise of narco-trafficking, coupled with concerns about road safety and corruption, can be particularly worrisome for American citizens considering relocating with their families. While Costa Rica remains relatively safe compared to some of its neighbors, these issues require careful consideration.

Understanding Costa Rican GDP

It’s crucial to understand how Costa Rica’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is calculated. Some economists argue that the way GDP is measured can sometimes mask the reality of economic growth or decline. For example, GDP calculations include the salaries of public sector employees, regardless of their efficiency or productivity. Additionally, GDP doesn’t always account for the depreciation of assets like roads and bridges. This can create a skewed picture of the country’s overall economic health.

Specific Opportunities and Potential Risks

While broad-based investment might face challenges, certain sectors in Costa Rica still offer attractive opportunities. Fast food franchises, tourism-related businesses, and niche markets often find success. However, potential investors should be aware of the risks associated with a potential U.S. recession, which could significantly impact Costa Rica’s current construction and tourism boom.

Ultimately, while Costa Rica offers undeniable charm and potential, a thorough understanding of its economic realities and challenges is essential for any U.S. investor. Careful due diligence and a sector-specific approach are key to navigating the Costa Rican market successfully.

Interested in exploring if Costa Rica is right for your business? Contact us today to learn more about the opportunities and challenges in specific sectors and receive personalized advice to inform your decisions.